McCain Gamble on VP Pick Necessary
The Palin pick is interesting on a number of levels. Tactically, it was a brilliant stroke. McCain undercut any Obama bounce from the DNC quite nicely. He took advantage of the media’s natural love of “buzz” and gave them a fresh target to work on for a couple of news cycles.
Strategically, although it blunts arguments about Obama’s lack of experience, it was absolutely necessary. Don’t get me wrong, Palin has more executive experience than Obama and Biden put together, but my guess is the general public won’t view it that way.
But how much does experience matter in this election? The inexperience charge has been floating around Obama since he first started running. Hillary Clinton couldn’t make it stick. And McCain wasn’t making much headway either considering that Obama leads most polls and is competitive in some unusual states. So, why can’t anyone make this point stick?
In Clinton’s case, I don’t think anyone really gave her presidential credit for Bill’s Oval Office tenure. That left only 2 Senate years difference between the two and a much weaker argument for her.
Personal experience isn’t the problem for McCain. The American people’s experience with the compassionate conservative, AKA George Bush, and a badly damaged GOP brand is. If your perception is that the GOP experience hasn’t been good, you’re much more likely to give a fresh, inexperienced guy a shot.
And that’s why McCain had to shake up the race. Status quo picks like Romney or Pawlenty weren’t going move the needle. When you’re ahead, you have the luxury of picking a Biden to run out the clock. Picking Palin (or something similar) and seizing a reform agenda was smart and necessary when you’re playing catch-up.
Archived in: 2008 Election, Barack Obama, Democrats, George Bush, Joe Biden, John McCain, Presidential Election, Republicans, Sarah PalinAugust 31, 2008 at 9:37 am | Trackback












1 comment
Again, outstanding analysis. I’d add that plenty of pundits on the right are disappointed, calling it just a Republican version of identity politics. So what?
Besides yours, the best evaluation was Mark Steyn’s, who said he’d rather have a person with a “hinterland”, by which he meant a background life, than a guy who spent his adult life community organizing and writing autobiographies.
He went on to say she looks natural hunting, where Obama bowling looks like a foreigner being forced to observe some
impenetrable local ritual.
Is that enough? Maybe. Recall the Harvard faculty/Boston phonebook rule for governing.